Northern Illinois vs Ball State 11/20/2010

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Northern Illinois is a heavy favorite winning 83% of simulations over Ball State. Chandler Harnish is averaging 190 passing yards and 1.73 TDs per simulation and Chad Spann is projected for 99 rushing yards and a 72% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 17% of simulations where Ball State wins, Keith Wenning averages 1.72 TD passes vs 1.06 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.81 TDs to 1.45 interceptions. MiQuale Lewis averages 62 rushing yards and 0.54 rushing TDs when Ball State wins and 51 yards and 0.28 TDs in losses. Northern Illinois has a 63% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 89% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BALL +14.5

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